Other Party in Landslide Win

In Scotland, we're used to seeing the SNP in polls as 'Other' in the UK context. Prior to 2014/15 it was part of the scenery that was the Con in England / Lab in Scotland hegemony. However, since 2014 all that has changed, not that polling companies notice. Almost right after the Independence referendum in…


Misc. 2015 Election Bits n Bobs

I was looking back at the 2015 General Election, and while reading the Parliament briefing, I noticed it contains some interesting bit and bobs of information. Since we're facing a new election so soon after the last, I thought it worth sharing some of the stats. Legal bit: Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open…

BMG Poll – Scottish Independence

Rumours are circulating of a BMG poll in the Herald that will make some eyes water (for varying reasons, depending on your political inclination). If true (if not, this article will disappear soon enough), then there's as little as a 1% swing between Yes and No, as the Yes vote rises to 49%, excluding don't…


Some Politicians Listen

Yesterday, the noted GERS blogger, Richard Murphy (Professor of Practice in International Political Economy) appeared in the Scottish Parliament to give his tuppence (or thruppence if you don't believe the data) worth. As per usual, his simple, core points get to the heart of the matter: "The amount that is known about Scottish taxation is…


Alternative Headlines

I don't claim to be anything other than having an interest in politics and their stats, and I'm certainly not a journalist, but I thought I might like to add to the headlines of today's announcement of a snap General Election in June. Some are less snappy than others, but you'll at least get an…


Game on?

I have little to add to this, other than the usual caution over the Scottish sample size in the ORB poll. On the one hand, it's not a great sample, but on the other, many UK polls have similar sample sizes for Scotland, and get taken as part of a larger trend. If nothing else,…


Mandate Checkmate

The other day I saw a tweet of Nicola Sturgeon, as she responded to Christian Fraser of the BBC. First, we must draw the distinction between Westminster and Holyrood mandates. The SNP can never command a mandate at Westminster, since they can only get 59 of the possible 650 seats (democratic deficit in action). Obviously,…


Cornering rats

“A veritable explosion of British State bile and hatred spewed out” – Rather descriptive and pretty accurate.


Wow! They took that well, the UK Establishment and their media arm, didn’t they?

A veritable explosion of British State bile and hatred spewed out in the direction of a person, whom I don’t know personally, but as I consider myself a reasonable judge of character, a woman who seems like a helluva nice wee lady, for a politician. She seems sincere, honest, caring and principled tae me, and thankfully articulate, intelligent and full of the street smarts.

What has Nicola Sturgeon done to attract such ire? She’s dared to challenge the UK elite to prove that the democracy they are always congratulating themselves for does actually exist.

From the Telegraph suggesting that someone may want to part her body from her head, as well as describing her as a liar and a traitor, to the Mail accusing her of betrayal, and their online gossip wags slagging her off for…

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Ipsos Mori Poll: Don’t get Excited

In the recent Ipsos Mori poll, the voting intention for May's Local Election was along similar past polling in Scotland (in Westminster and Holyrood). The SNP are in the mid 40% range, with the Conservatives around 20%, Labour in the high teens, and so on. As is a statgeek's wont, I browsed the additional data…


Northern Ireland Assembly – Results

It's Friday, and the Northern Ireland Assembly results are coming in now. The turnout is being reported at 64.78%, which is well up on the 2016 election turnout of 54.9% (+9.88%), and some areas are reporting turnout at over 70%. And it's almost over and it's looking like a dead heat for first place. Showing…